CounterpediaExplore knowledge. Follow the sources.

MH370

Research entry · not admitted

**Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 disappearance**

**Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 disappearance**

Questions and claims

  • C-1 — Manual control likely ≠ named-pilot intent established(question / dispute)
  • C-2 — Home simulator evidence exists ≠ MH370 route rehearsal established(question / dispute)
  • C-3 — Southern Indian Ocean strongly inferred ≠ exact crash site known(question / dispute)
  • C-4 — Search-area changes are model updates, not necessarily factual contradiction(question / dispute)
  • C-5 — High-confidence search exclusion ≠ positive location elsewhere(question / dispute)
  • C-6 — BFO/end-of-flight evidence reduces controlled-ditching scenarios ≠ categorical proof(question / dispute)
  • C-7 — Debris identification has graded confidence(question / dispute)
  • C-8 — Early drift-model error has bounded consequences(question / dispute)
  • C-9 — "Prospective areas exhausted based on analysis to date" vs later renewed searches(question / dispute)
  • C-10 — Cause unknown ≠ evidence absent(question / dispute)
  • C-11 — Search phase ended ≠ search program ended(question / dispute)

Analysis

MH370 is the Wave-1 principled unknown test.

The record supports different claims at different strengths:

A conventional article tends to compress those into a narrative route and then attach a vague "cause unknown." Counterpedia can expose the layers themselves:

observed signal → derived measurement → model assumption → probabilistic search area → search result → updated model

  • direct radar/communications observations;
  • satellite-derived geometric constraints;
  • aircraft-performance constraints;
  • model-dependent route probabilities;
  • physical debris identification;
  • negative search evidence;
  • retrospective technical inferences;
  • propositions investigators explicitly could not resolve.

Why not?

  • "The crash site" is not directly observed.(semantic trap / refusal)
  • A satellite arc is not a GPS position.(semantic trap / refusal)
  • "Southern Indian Ocean" can be strongly supported while exact impact coordinates remain unknown.(semantic trap / refusal)
  • "Likely manual control" does not identify the person at the controls.(semantic trap / refusal)
  • Evidence from the captain's home simulator is not evidence that the simulator reproduced MH370's actual route.(semantic trap / refusal)
  • Confirmed debris, almost-certain debris, and suspected debris are distinct evidentiary states.(semantic trap / refusal)
  • A search area being eliminated at high confidence does not prove a specific alternative location; it supplies negative evidence to the next inference step.(semantic trap / refusal)
  • "Search concluded" is temporally dangerous.(semantic trap / refusal)
  • Malaysia led the Annex 13 safety investigation; Australia led much of the southern Indian Ocean search and recovery effort.(semantic trap / refusal)
  • A safety-investigation conclusion that cause is unknown does not mean the entire record is unknowable.(semantic trap / refusal)

Temporal bounds

Core casualty/investigation corpus: March 2014–July 2018. Search/model corpus: 2014–2026, because later debris, sonar reanalysis, and renewed Ocean Infinity searches materially update where the aircraft is not known to be and which areas remain candidates.

Sources

  1. MH-S01 — Malaysian Safety Investigation Report
    source · research candidate

    Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

  2. MH-S02 — Malaysian Ministry of Transport MH370 investigation archive
    source · research candidate

    Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

  3. MH-S03 — ATSB Operational Search for MH370 — Final Report
    source · research candidate

    Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

  4. MH-S04 — ATSB First Principles Review
    source · research candidate

    Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

  5. MH-S05 — ATSB MH370 Search and Debris Examination Update
    source · research candidate

    Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

  6. MH-S06 — ATSB BTO characteristics fact sheet
    source · research candidate

    Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

  7. MH-S07 — ATSB SATCOM signalling unit logs
    source · research candidate

    Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

  8. MH-S08 — CSIRO drift analysis Part I
    source · research candidate

    Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

  9. MH-S09 — CSIRO drift analysis Part II / real flaperon tests
    source · research candidate

    Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

  10. MH-S10 — CSIRO drift analysis Part III / satellite imagery
    source · research candidate

    Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

  11. MH-S11 — CSIRO drift analysis Part IV
    source · research candidate

    Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

  12. MH-S12 — ATSB debris examination reports 1–5
    source · research candidate

    Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

  13. MH-S13 — ATSB / Geoscience Australia 2022 sonar-data review
    source · research candidate

    Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

  14. MH-S14 — ATSB aircraft-debris and drift modelling fact sheet
    source · research candidate

    Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

  15. MH-S15 — Ocean Infinity March 2026 search-phase conclusion
    source · research candidate

    Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

  16. MH-S16 — Malaysian government-relayed 2026 search extension
    source · research candidate

    Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

  17. MH-S17 — ICAO global aircraft tracking response
    source · research candidate

    Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

  18. MH-S18 — Wikipedia comparison surface — OPTIONAL
    source · research candidate

    Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

Inspect
Research pack
demo-corpus-twelve
Artifact
mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1
Artifact kind
dossier
SHA-256
45868bdadf64bf8d1443939ea98dbac3446a1b40a30a0e06a03a384f822a0f25

Read with sources

Choose among sources carried by this entry. Selection changes this list, never the article or its conclusions.

Reference overlap is not evidence of claim support, corroboration, or a verdict.

Entry status: research. Sources retain their own status.

Sources to read together

Selected sources (18)

  • MH-S01 — Malaysian Safety Investigation Report

    Role: Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

    Source type: source

    Source status: research candidate

    Issuer / publisher: Not supplied

    Open source: /research/sources/MH-S01

  • MH-S02 — Malaysian Ministry of Transport MH370 investigation archive

    Role: Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

    Source type: source

    Source status: research candidate

    Issuer / publisher: Not supplied

    Open source: /research/sources/MH-S02

  • MH-S03 — ATSB Operational Search for MH370 — Final Report

    Role: Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

    Source type: source

    Source status: research candidate

    Issuer / publisher: Not supplied

    Open source: /research/sources/MH-S03

  • MH-S04 — ATSB First Principles Review

    Role: Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

    Source type: source

    Source status: research candidate

    Issuer / publisher: Not supplied

    Open source: /research/sources/MH-S04

  • MH-S05 — ATSB MH370 Search and Debris Examination Update

    Role: Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

    Source type: source

    Source status: research candidate

    Issuer / publisher: Not supplied

    Open source: /research/sources/MH-S05

  • MH-S06 — ATSB BTO characteristics fact sheet

    Role: Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

    Source type: source

    Source status: research candidate

    Issuer / publisher: Not supplied

    Open source: /research/sources/MH-S06

  • MH-S07 — ATSB SATCOM signalling unit logs

    Role: Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

    Source type: source

    Source status: research candidate

    Issuer / publisher: Not supplied

    Open source: /research/sources/MH-S07

  • MH-S08 — CSIRO drift analysis Part I

    Role: Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

    Source type: source

    Source status: research candidate

    Issuer / publisher: Not supplied

    Open source: /research/sources/MH-S08

  • MH-S09 — CSIRO drift analysis Part II / real flaperon tests

    Role: Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

    Source type: source

    Source status: research candidate

    Issuer / publisher: Not supplied

    Open source: /research/sources/MH-S09

  • MH-S10 — CSIRO drift analysis Part III / satellite imagery

    Role: Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

    Source type: source

    Source status: research candidate

    Issuer / publisher: Not supplied

    Open source: /research/sources/MH-S10

  • MH-S11 — CSIRO drift analysis Part IV

    Role: Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

    Source type: source

    Source status: research candidate

    Issuer / publisher: Not supplied

    Open source: /research/sources/MH-S11

  • MH-S12 — ATSB debris examination reports 1–5

    Role: Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

    Source type: source

    Source status: research candidate

    Issuer / publisher: Not supplied

    Open source: /research/sources/MH-S12

  • MH-S13 — ATSB / Geoscience Australia 2022 sonar-data review

    Role: Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

    Source type: source

    Source status: research candidate

    Issuer / publisher: Not supplied

    Open source: /research/sources/MH-S13

  • MH-S14 — ATSB aircraft-debris and drift modelling fact sheet

    Role: Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

    Source type: source

    Source status: research candidate

    Issuer / publisher: Not supplied

    Open source: /research/sources/MH-S14

  • MH-S15 — Ocean Infinity March 2026 search-phase conclusion

    Role: Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

    Source type: source

    Source status: research candidate

    Issuer / publisher: Not supplied

    Open source: /research/sources/MH-S15

  • MH-S16 — Malaysian government-relayed 2026 search extension

    Role: Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

    Source type: source

    Source status: research candidate

    Issuer / publisher: Not supplied

    Open source: /research/sources/MH-S16

  • MH-S17 — ICAO global aircraft tracking response

    Role: Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

    Source type: source

    Source status: research candidate

    Issuer / publisher: Not supplied

    Open source: /research/sources/MH-S17

  • MH-S18 — Wikipedia comparison surface — OPTIONAL

    Role: Authored in demo-corpus-twelve/mh370-demo-corpus-dossier-v0-1

    Source type: source

    Source status: research candidate

    Issuer / publisher: Not supplied

    Open source: /research/sources/MH-S18

Return to the article